Immigration Moratorium
Chapter 2: Expected Useful Lifetime
of STEM Degree
1 million new STEM jobs projected by 2022, 5.9 million new American graduates will apply for them.
Subjects: Immigration
moratorium, STEM,
Employment, Education,
temporary visa
 |
| Source data by NSF/NCES |
|
In the previous post,
we found that domestic (citizen and permanent resident) bachelor's
degree production is more than adequately meeting employment growth
published by the BLS. Even with an additional 22 months (2014-Oct.
2015) of employment
growth beyond the college degree data period (2000-13), there would
still be
6.42% slack (not employed) in the college educated population.
For this post we are looking at STEM degree production, on the domestic
side (citizens and permanent residents), for the fourteen years of
data we have 4,945,112 STEM bachelor's and 3,311,070 associate's
degrees conferred, for a total of 8,256,182. Without factoring in
any immigration and considering the STEM sector employment level for
2014 below, domestic degree production can replace the entire STEM
employment market in a little over 15 years. Most of these
graduates need 40 years of employment to reach their retirement age.
There were over 8.3 million STEM
jobs in May 2014, representing about 6.2 percent of total U.S.
employment. Seven of the 10 largest STEM occupations were related to
computers. These occupations included applications software developers,
with employment of 686,470; computer user support specialists
(563,540); and computer systems analysts (528,320). Wholesale and
manufacturing sales representatives of technical and scientific
products (335,540) was the largest STEM occupation that was not
specifically computer related. Source: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ocwage.pdf
The BLS 2014 projection for STEM employment is that STEM employment "...is
projected to grow to more than 9 million between 2012 and 2022. That’s
an increase of about 1 million jobs over 2012 employment levels." [PDF]
However, from averages taken from the table below, the STEM
bachelor's degrees will be conferred will be 3.53 million and the associate’s degrees will be another 2.37 million over ten years. Basically,
there are 5.9 million (citizen and permanent resident) students in the
pipeline for an employment growth projection of 1 million jobs.
The following educational sectors are adhock and do not represent the
exact degrees in the paragraph above, but with the disparity in
numbers, all we need is common horse-sense to support an immigration
moratorium.
| Citizenship (standardized): U.S. Citizens and Permanent
Residents 2000-2013 |
Bachelor's |
Associate's |
| 01 Agriculture, Agriculture Operations, and Related Sciences |
206,762 |
69,513 |
| 02 Agricultural Sciences |
901 |
163 |
| 04 Architecture and Related Services |
125,605 |
7,057 |
| 10 Communications Technologies/Technicians and Support
Services |
46,313 |
52,801 |
| 11 Computer and Information Sciences and Support Services |
612,641 |
474,940 |
| 14 Engineering |
902,298 |
32,648 |
| 15 Engineering Technologies and Engineering Related Fields |
207,083 |
499,185 |
| 25 Library Science |
1,202 |
1,681 |
| 26 Biological and Biomedical Sciences |
1,042,147 |
31,070 |
| 27 Mathematics and Statistics |
5,496 |
25,738 |
| 29 Military Technologies and Applied Science |
688 |
7,455 |
| 40 Physical Sciences |
287,555 |
28,020 |
| 41 Science Technologies/Technicians |
4,391 |
19,979 |
| 41 Science Technologies/Technicians |
4,391 |
19,979 |
| 48 Precision Production |
583 |
34,736 |
| 51 Health Professions and Related Programs |
1,497,056 |
2,006,105 |
|
|
|
| Subtotals |
4,945,112 |
3,311,070 |
The following table displays the (2000-13) degrees conferred to
temporary resident (foreign students). Attempting to grant work
authorization to just U.S. educated foreign workers will add 556,490
job seekers to the STEM workforce, bringing the competition to 6.5
candidates for each projected job. Additionally, under President
Obama's planned OPT extension, foreign STEM students will receive up to
a three
year Social Security and Medicare contribution exemption, combining
the employee and employer share this
is a discount of 12.4% on Social Security and another 2.9% on Medicare
combined contributions.
| Citizenship (standardized): Temporary Residents 2000-2013 |
Doctorate |
Master's |
Bachelor's |
Associate's |
| 01 Agriculture, Agriculture Operations, and Related Sciences |
3703 |
6961 |
3,028 |
513 |
| 02 Agricultural Sciences |
31 |
42 |
16 |
2 |
| 04 Architecture and Related Services |
714 |
15673 |
6,789 |
267 |
| 10 Communications Technologies/Technicians and Support
Services |
15 |
2093 |
1,407 |
1,199 |
| 11 Computer and Information Sciences and Support Services |
5676 |
112524 |
41,916 |
9,192 |
| 14 Engineering |
34598 |
193060 |
67,107 |
1,696 |
| 15 Engineering Technologies and Engineering Related Fields |
267 |
11736 |
6,411 |
4,993 |
| 25 Library Science |
150 |
1941 |
7 |
7 |
| 26 Biological and Biomedical Sciences |
14513 |
19830 |
29,255 |
888 |
| 27 Mathematics and Statistics |
5496 |
25738 |
11,855 |
725 |
| 29 Military Technologies and Applied Science |
0 |
2 |
5 |
0 |
| 40 Physical Sciences |
16543 |
23011 |
11,490 |
1,915 |
| 41 Science Technologies/Technicians |
3 |
69 |
177 |
356 |
| 48 Precision Production |
0 |
12 |
33 |
88 |
| 51 Health Professions and Related Programs |
5565 |
38369 |
22,109 |
17,303 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Subtotals |
87,274 |
451,061 |
201,605 |
39,144 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Totals | 779,084 | 5.02% | (Associate's) |
|
Source data: https://ncsesdata.nsf.gov/webcaspar/
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