Showing posts with label NFAP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFAP. Show all posts

Monday, January 2, 2012

Immigrant Founders -- The Rest of the Story

Eighty percent, or 40 out of 50, of the country’s Top 50 Venture-Funded companies had one or more American born founders. No, I didn’t make up the statistic, I found the data and reversed the spin that the pro-immigration faction is trying to promote.

Updated:
Due to a data sorting error, I originally overstated the percentage of U.S. born cofounders in the Top 50 Venture Backed companies. This error has been corrected. See Footnote.

Other Findings:

Companies "Without a Foreign Born Founder" have employment levels 26% higher than the Top 50 average employment levels.
Companies "Without a American Born Founder" have employment levels 25% lower than the Top 50 average employment levels.
Companies with foreign born founders/cofounders (23 of 50) are almost twice as likely to apply for H-1B temporary guestworker visas.

Stuart Anderson’s organization, the National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP), may be doing more harm to his cause than good. Whenever someone throws out a percentage and does not provide a divisor, you can be assured that they are hiding something.

This paper’s topic:
"Immigrant Founders and Key Personnel In America’s Top Venture-Funded Companies,"
By: Stuart Anderson

The NFAP study states: "The research finds that 46 percent, or 23 out of 50, of the country’s top venture-funded companies had at least one immigrant founder. This illustrates the increasing importance and contributions of immigrants to the U.S. economy."

Mathematically, the NFAP statement makes no sense, how do you divide a variant number of founders by the number of companies? I was taught that you have to divide by "like" terms, cofounders and companies are not like terms. Curiously, the NFAP document has a Table with the names and birthplace of the foreign-born founders. However, after finding another source for the "Top 50" data, I find that the NFAP has removed the names of the U.S. born founders and eliminated the companies that did not have a foreign-born founder from the Table included in the NFAP Study.

After combining the two sources of data, I (also) found that 23 of the 50 companies selected did have one or more foreign-born founders/cofounders; however, 13 of those 23 companies also had one or more American born cofounders. Only 10 of the Top 50 companies did not have an American born cofounder.

Most of the Top 50 companies (36) are located in California, which has 34.9% population of foreign-born employed in the labor force, so the 31.9% foreign-born founders/cofounders (found in the table below) basically represents the population.


Top 50 Venture Backed Companies
Total Employees10,314
Avg. Employees206.28
NumberPercent
Total Founders119100%
Foreign Born Founders 3932.8%
American Born Founders8067.2%
With a Foreign Born Founder
Number of Companies2346.0%
Number of Employees3,289 31.9%
Avg. Employees143.0
*H-1B Work Visa Applications (LCA)36211.0%
Avg. Ranking (1 to 50)23.09
**Avg. Year Founded2004.9
Without a Foreign Born Founder
Number of Companies2754.0%
Number of Employees7,025 68.1%
Avg. Employees260.2
***H-1B Work Visa Applications (LCA)445 6.3%
Avg. Ranking (1 to 50)27.56
**Avg. Year Founded2003.5
Without an American Born Founder
Number of Companies1020.0%
Number of Employees1,295 12.6%
Avg. Employees129.5
*H-1B Work Visa Applications (LCA)15411.9%
Avg. Ranking (1 to 50)25.70
**Avg. Year Founded2005.2
* (H-1B) Number of Visa Applications -- Percent of Number of Employees
** Avg. Year Founded is decimal

***Appia Inc., (with an employee roster of 51), applied for 214 of the 445 H-1B Work Visa Applications in "Without a Foreign Born Founder".

 

If Appia Inc. 51 employees and 445 H-1B applications are removed from the sample, the percent of  H-1B applications would be 3.3% in the "Without a Foreign Born Founder" group of companies.

From the table above, I notice that the Top 50, Avg. Ranking for each group is similar, each segregated group is near the middle of the Top 50 Avg. Ranking. The two groups of companies with foreign born cofounders appear to have a slightly more viable ranking, but the foreign born founded/cofounded companies seriously under-perform in the" Number of Employees" category. Additionally, companies with foreign born founders and cofounders are almost twice as likely to apply for H-1B temporary guestworker visas.

The NFAP study trumpets that immigrants are crucial to employment growth. Conversely, the table above demonstrates that the "Without a Foreign Born Founder" group of companies employ 68% of the personnel while this group consists of only 54% of the Top 50 companies.

Key Positions Held By Foreign Born: The NFAP study also contains a table of key positions held by foreign-born employees, but here-again the NFAP does not include the universe of key positions. The NFAP uses the following statement to describe key positions:

Table 2: Immigrant Key Member of Management or Product Development Team in Top VC-Backed Companies

While it would be interesting to see if these companies have a preference for foreign-born employees, we would also have to take into consideration the percentage of employed foreign-born in each state’s labor force.

The following table examines the foreign born founder data in relation to location, and the prevalence of the population of foreign born employed within the specified states (from Census data).

FoundersForeign BornCompanies
Company LocationForeign Born U.S. Born AggregatePercent*Census EmployedNumber
CA315631 of 8735.6%34.9%36
CO010 of 10.0%1
GA101 of 1100.0%12.1%1
IL020 of 20.0%1
IN030 of 30.0%1
MA020 of 20.0%1
NC010 of 10.0%1
NJ303 of 3100.0%25.6%1
NY363 of 933.3%27.0%3
TX070 of 70.0%2
UT020 of 20.0%1
WA101 of 1100.0%14.3%1
Total398039 of 11932.8%27.6%50
*Census Employed is based upon the combined population of the five states of interest -- 2007 Census data An Unemployment rate of 5.2 percent would suggest that the foreign born Labor Force for this combined population would also be 32.8%

In closing, the majority of the Top 50 Venture-Funded companies are located in states with extremely high populations of foreign-born in the labor force -- the data shows nothing statistically remarkable about foreign-born founders. Moreover, the benefit of employment growth in foreign born cofounded companies is muted by a substantially higher application rate for temporary foreign workers and below average employment levels. In fact, companies Without a Foreign Born Founder" have employment levels 26% higher than the Top 50 average, while companies "Without a American Born Founder" have employment levels 25% lower than the Top 50 average employment levels.

Footnote:
I originally used a single data table to contain the cofounder data and manually sorted the single table to select the desired values for the Average and Sum spreadsheet functions. I must have inadvertently sorted the table an additional time, which in turn provided incorrect values for the Average and Sum calculations.

The corrected error:

Ninety-two percent, or 46 out of 50, of the country’s top venture-funded companies had one or more American born founders.


This error has been corrected, and learning from my mistake, I de-normalized the single data table into three separate data tables, which can be sorted without affecting the Average and Sum calculations.

I’ve updated the tables above this section to reflect the correct values for each table. I apologize for any inconvenience this may have caused, and I want to ensure to everyone that I have the utmost respect for providing true and correct data regarding this important debate.

Source Data:

National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP)
"Immigrant Founders and Key Personnel In America’s Top Venture-Funded Companies,"
http://www.nfap.com/pdf/NFAPPolicyBriefImmigrantFoundersandKeyPersonnelinAmericasTopVentureFundedCompanies.pdf

Wall Street Journal
Top 50 Venture-Funded Companies WSJ.com
(This source provided founder data omitted from tables presented by NFAP publication)
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704132204576190644237905576.html

Foreign Born Employed in the Labor Force:

Employed Civilian Foreign-Born Labor Force by State: 2007
Appendix Table A.

www.census.gov/prod/2008pubs/acs-09.pdf

H-1B LCA Application Data

http://www.h1bistro.com/

Appendix:

Data

RankNameLocationIndustryAll FoundersEmployeesYear FoundedImmigrant foundersH-1B LCA
1Castlight Health Inc.San FranciscoHealth CareGiovanni Colella, Todd Park1002008Giovanni Colella (Italy)4
2Xirrus Inc.Thousand Oaks, Calif.Information TechnologySteven DeGennaro, Dirk Gates, Patrick Parker17020030
3Xactly Corp.San Jose, Calif.Business and Financial ServicesChristopher Cabrera, Satish Palvai1402005Satish Palvai (India)13
4Recycle Rewards Inc.New YorkBusiness and Financial ServicesPatrick FitzGerald, Ron Gonen15020045
5ExteNet Systems Inc.Lisle, Ill.Information TechnologyRoss Manire, Eric Lekacz8620022
6Cyan Optics Inc.Petaluma, Calif.Information TechnologyMichael Hatfield, Rick Johnston, Steve West, Eric Clelland1022006Steve West (South Africa)16
7Aster Data Systems Inc.San Carlos, Calif.Information TechnologyTasso Argyros, Mayank Bawa, George Candea1022005Tasso Argyros (Greece) Mayank Bawa (India)55
8Glam Media Inc.Brisbane, Calif.Consumer ServicesSamir Arora, Rebecca Bogle Arora, Ernie Cicogna, Susan Kare, Dianna Mullins, Raj Narayan, Fernando Ruarte, Vic Zaud3002004Samir Arora (India) Raj Narayan (India)6
9Carrier IQ Inc.Mountain View, Calif.Information TechnologyBruce Lacey, Steve Roskowski75200516
10Imperva Inc.Redwood Shores, Calif.Information TechnologyMickey Boodaei, Shlomo Kramer, Amichai Shulman3502002Mickey Boodaei (Israel) Shlomo Kramer (Israel) Amichai Shulman (Israel)14
11Vidyo Inc.Hackensack, N.J.Information TechnologyAlex Eleftheriadis, Avery More, Ofer Shapiro1402005Ofer Shapiro (Israel) Alex Eleftheriadis (Greece) Avery More (Israel)22
12Etsy Inc.Brooklyn, N.Y.Consumer ServicesRobert Kalin, Chris Maguire, Haim Schoppik, Jared Tarbell1852005Haim Schoppik (Switzerland)1
13RGB Networks Inc.Sunnyvale, Calif.Information TechnologyEdward Krause, Peter Monta, Adam Tom1752003Edward Krause (Canada)37
14IronKey Inc.Sunnyvale, Calif.Information TechnologyDavid Jevans10020058
15Appia Inc.Durham, N.C.Information TechnologyJud Bowman512008214
16The Active Network Inc.San DiegoBusiness and Financial ServicesJames Woodman2,500199858
17Nimble Storage Inc.San Jose, Calif.Information TechnologyUmesh Maheshwari, Varun Mehta552008Umesh Maheshwari (India) Varun Mehta (India)7
18PatientSafe Solutions Inc.San DiegoHealth CareKim Rubin, David Swenson8020020
19Glaukos Corp.Laguna Hills, Calif.Health CareOlav Bergheim, Richard Hill, Morteza Gharib402001Olav Bergheim (Norway) Morteza Gharib (Iran)0
20Fusion-io Inc.Salt Lake CityInformation TechnologyDavid Flynn, Rick White37020064
21Achaogen Inc.South San Francisco, Calif.Health CareNathaniel David, J. Kevin Judice, Floyd Romesberg, Peter Schultz6420043
22NeuroPace Inc.Mountain View, Calif.Health CareRobert Fischell, David Fischell9019974
23Xoom Corp.San FranciscoBusiness and Financial ServicesAlan Braverman, Kevin Hartz70200119
24Workday Inc.Pleasanton, Calif.Business and Financial ServicesAneel Bhusri, David Duffield650200521
25SpiderCloud Wireless Inc.Santa Clara, Calif.Information TechnologyPeter Wexler60200820
26Jive Software Inc.Palo Alto, Calif.Information TechnologyBill Lynch, Matt Tucker33620016
27Federated Media PublishingSan FranciscoConsumer ServicesJohn Batelle16520052
28Boku Inc.San FranciscoBusiness and Financial ServicesMark Britto, Ron Hirson, Erich Ringewald652009Mark Britto (Singapore) Ron Hirson (South Africa)7
29Zoosk Inc.San FranciscoConsumer ServicesShayan Zadeh, Alexander Mehr802007Shayan Zadeh (Iran) Alexander Mehr (Iran)8
30EndoGastric Solutions Inc.Redmond, Wash.Health CareStefan Kraemer1202003Stefan Kraemer (Germany)0
31Chegg Inc.Santa Clara, Calif.Consumer ServicesAayush Phumbhra, Osman Rashid1502007Aayush Phumbhra (India) Osman Rashid (U.K.)34
32Everyday Health Inc.New YorkConsumer ServicesMichael Keriakos, Benjamin Wolin4002002Michael Keriakos (Canada)26
33Xsigo Systems Inc.San Jose, Calif.Business and Financial ServicesR.K. Anand, Ashok Krishnamurthi, S.K. Vinod1102004R.K. Anand (India) Ashok Krishnamurthi (India) S.K. Vinod (India)36
34Soasta Inc.Mountain View, Calif.Information TechnologyKenneth Gardner, Tom Lounibos10020063
35Rally Software Development Corp.Boulder, Colo.Information TechnologyRyan Martens24120022
36Prosper Marketplace Inc.San FranciscoBusiness and Financial ServicesChristian Larsen, John Witchel38200511
37Pivot3 Inc.HoustonInformation TechnologyRyan Callison, Lee Caswell, Bill Galloway, Alan Skidmore7820033
38Suniva Inc.Norcross, Ga.Energy and UtilitiesAjeet Rohatgi1902007Ajeet Rohatgi (India)4
39Veracyte Inc.South San Francisco, Calif.Health CareBonnie Anderson4020080
40ExactTarget Inc.IndianapolisBusiness and Financial ServicesChris Baggott, Scott Dorsey, Peter McCormick850200014
41OncoMed Pharmaceuticals Inc.Redwood City, Calif.Health CareMichael Clarke, Max Wicha7620045
42ExaGrid Systems Inc.Westborough, Mass.Information TechnologyJames Pownell, Dave Therrien14520021
43SeeSaw Networks Inc.San FranciscoBusiness and Financial ServicesPeter Bowen, Jeff Dickey, Rocky Gunderson, Scott Hines, Monte Zweben2020060
44Silver Peak Systems Inc.Santa Clara, Calif.Information TechnologyDavid Hughes1502004David Hughes (New Zealand)21
45Zilliant Inc.Austin, TexasInformation TechnologyAlex Chien, Deborah Vollmer Dahlke, Peter Zandan120199925
46Yammer Inc.San FranciscoBusiness and Financial ServicesAdam Pisoni, David Sacks10020085
47Bivio Networks Inc.Pleasanton, Calif.Information TechnologyJunaid Islam, Jeff Payne, Homayoun Valizadeh602000Junaid Islam (Canada) Homayoun Valizadeh (Australia)6
48TxVia Inc.New YorkBusiness and Financial ServicesCarl Ansley, Colin Fleming, Aaron Tay1502006Aaron Tay (New Zealand) Colin Fleming (New Zealand)27
49Service-now.com Inc.Del Mar, Calif.Information TechnologyFred Luddy30020032
50Aprius Inc.Sunnyvale, Calif.Information TechnologyMarc Epitaux, Peter Kirkpatrick, Jean-Marc Verdiell252007Marc Epitaux (Switzerland) Jean-Marc Verdiell (France)10

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Census: Three New Immigrants for Every New Job

For the decade, 6.9 million immigrants found employment while only 2 million jobs were created. There isn't really much to say except that people who are advocating more immigration must also be barking mad. 

Taken from Census CPS and BLS CPS data.
OccupationNewly Employed Immigrants
--
Percent of Emp.
Level Gain
Employment Level Loss/Gain
Arrived 2000 or later(2)(Avg. yr. 2010 - 2000)
.Management, professional, and related occupationsMajor1,629,000  (30%) 5,442,000
..Management, business, and financial494,000 1,347,000
..Professional and related1,135,000 4,095,000
.Service occupationsMajor2,106,000  (55%) 3,857,000
.Sales and office occupationsMajor985,000  (100%)+ (2,736,000)
..Sales and related600,000 (335,000)
..Office and administrative385,000 (2,401,000)
.Farming, fishing, and forestry occupationsMajor149,000  (100%)+ (181,000)
.Construction, extraction, and maintenance occupationsMajor977,000  (100%)+ (534,000)
..Construction and extraction817,000 (445,000)
..Installation, maintenance, and repair160,000 93,000
.Production, transportation, and material moving occupationsMajor1,068,000  (100%)+ (3,857,000)
..Production597,000 (3,465,000)
..Transportation and material moving471,000 (392,000)
Total (Employed) Immigrant Gain and Employment Level GainTotal 6,914,000 1,991,000
Percent of Employment Level Gain to New Arrival Immigrants % 347%

Maybe Stuart Anderson's, National Foundation for American Policy would like to respond to these numbers.

About the Data:
"Employment Level Loss/Gain" is BLS-CPS data where year 2000 avg. employment levels are subtracted from year 2010 avg. employment levels.

"Employed Immigrants" is the Census-CPS employment status of immigrants arriving after the year 2000.  
(2) The category 'Arrived 2000 or later' includes 2000-2010





Data:
Occupation of Employed Foreign-Born Civilian Workers 16 Years and Over by Sex and Year of Entry: 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2010.
Internet release date: 9/2011
http://www.census.gov/population/foreign/files/cps2010/T2.7.xls

Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey
Data extracted on: December 12, 2011 (11:55:42 AM) 

Series Id:           LNU02032201
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Management, Professional, and Related Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Management, professional, and related occupations (0008-3540)

Series Id:           LNU02032202
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Management, Business, and Financial Operations Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Management, business, and financial operations occupations (0009-0950)

Series Id:           LNU02032203
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Professional and Related Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Professional and related occupations (0999-3540)

Series Id:           LNU02032204
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Service Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Service occupations (3598-4650)

Series Id:           LNU02032205
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Sales and Office Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Sales and office occupations (4699-5930)

Series Id:           LNU02032206
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Sales and Related Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Sales and related occupations (4700-4960)


Series Id:           LNU02032207
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Office and administrative support occupations (5000-5930)

Series Id:           LNU02032208
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Natural Resources, Construction, and Maintenance Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations (5999-7620)


Series Id:           LNU02032209
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations (6000-6130)


Series Id:           LNU02032210
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Construction and Extraction Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Construction and extraction occupations (6200-6940)

Series Id:           LNU02032211
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations (7000-7620)

Series Id:           LNU02032212
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Production, Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Production, transportation, and material moving occupations (7699-9750)

Series Id:           LNU02032213
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Production Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Production occupations (7700-8960)

Series Id:           LNU02032214
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Series title:        (Unadj) Employment Level - Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Occupation:          Transportation and material moving occupations (9000-9750)

Monday, October 3, 2011

Myth: High-skill Vacant Jobs

There will always be some flux in staffing levels, an unfilled jobs level of 8,000 in a corporation of 80,000 employees shouldn't be surprising.  Employees  change jobs for a myriad of different reasons; corporations also may also find the need to create new positions.

This analysis got buried in an earlier blog.

Here are some Vacancy Rates for IT related firms from the 2006 - 2007 era.

Hewlett Packard = 0.81
IBM = 0.58%
Microsoft = 4.85%
EDS = 0.97%
Google Internet = 8.44%
Cisco = 2.33%

In fact, the average of 30 companies with supposedly large Vacancy Rates averaged 2.27%.  Two vacancies in one hundred seems reasonable to me, especially from my experience of sitting on hiring committees, filling a position can easily take six months. Paralyses by analysis tends to prevail on hiring committees.

30 U.S. Companies With Job Most Openings for Skilled Positions
(click image to enlarge)


The "job opening" source data for the table above came from the pro-immigration think "Nationational foundation for American Policy" (NFAP).  I went to Yahoo Finance to find the size of each corporation, and then simply found the Vacany Rate for each Corporation.

The NFAP source data (published Jan 2008) was collected over 2006 and 2007 found 140,233 open jobs in a 13 page list of S&P 500 companies.  The following Unemployment rates and levels are included below for those with Bachelor's degrees and above.


Unemployed College Graduates for the period in question:

December 2007 = 2.2% (972,000)

January 2008 = 2.1% (953,000)
February 2008 = 2.1% (944,000)

Series Id: LNS14027662

Seasonal Adjusted
Series title: (Seas)
Unemployment Rate – Bachelor’s degree and higher, 25 yrs. & over
Labor force status: Unemployment rate
Type of data: Percent
Age: 25 years and over Educational attainment: College graduates

When the H-1B immigration pundits throw-out tidbits of data in the media, they always seem to leave out information required to make an infomed opinion.  In this case, the number of employes per open position.